Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.004021 0.004411 0.004829 0.005313 0.005859 0.006458 0.007167
2025-08-24 0.003346 0.003881 0.004498 0.005266 0.006206 0.007325 0.008776
2025-08-31 0.002902 0.003487 0.004191 0.005113 0.006301 0.007802 0.009876
2025-09-07 0.002639 0.003261 0.004039 0.005098 0.006526 0.008422 0.011192
2025-09-14 0.002499 0.003168 0.004032 0.005250 0.006964 0.009347 0.013025
2025-09-21 0.002297 0.002969 0.003860 0.005155 0.007038 0.009760 0.014156
2025-09-28 0.002125 0.002796 0.003704 0.005059 0.007090 0.010131 0.015256
2025-10-05 0.002006 0.002683 0.003620 0.005053 0.007267 0.010698 0.016731
2025-10-12 0.001931 0.002625 0.003607 0.005146 0.007596 0.011532 0.018766
2025-10-19 0.001821 0.002508 0.003497 0.005081 0.007666 0.011945 0.020114
2025-10-26 0.001734 0.002420 0.003424 0.005063 0.007806 0.012485 0.021768
2025-11-02 0.001642 0.002316 0.003319 0.004985 0.007836 0.012831 0.023092
2025-11-09 0.001577 0.002254 0.003278 0.005016 0.008066 0.013585 0.025415
2025-11-16 0.001499 0.002168 0.003194 0.004968 0.008156 0.014096 0.027338
2025-11-23 0.001408 0.002055 0.003060 0.004825 0.008059 0.014234 0.028462
2025-11-30 0.001352 0.001993 0.003004 0.004812 0.008198 0.014849 0.030789
2025-12-07 0.001330 0.001985 0.003036 0.004953 0.008643 0.016144 0.035013
2025-12-14 0.001266 0.001906 0.002944 0.004864 0.008629 0.016470 0.036877
2025-12-21 0.001207 0.001831 0.002855 0.004775 0.008605 0.016769 0.038734
2025-12-28 0.001167 0.001786 0.002813 0.004770 0.008751 0.017464 0.041832
2026-01-04 0.001144 0.001769 0.002820 0.004856 0.009095 0.018662 0.046664
2026-01-11 0.001100 0.001712 0.002753 0.004796 0.009121 0.019108 0.049359
2026-01-18 0.001065 0.001670 0.002710 0.004779 0.009239 0.019794 0.052993